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Tesla: I See Downgrades Ahead

12/29/2020

 
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By: Invest To Retire, Seeking Alpha

Summary
  • Tesla needs to be valued as an automaker first and foremost, as installed base is what matters in the near-term.
  • The top 20 auto OEMs globally are aiming to produce 20m BEVs and potentially 30m plug-in hybrids in 2030 vs. total demand of just 28m electrified vehicles.
  • Tesla has an intense market share war ahead of it, which could last the better of the next 10 years.
  • With Tesla's market cap now 2x the 5 largest auto OEMs combined, downgrades to the sales volume outlook, which are likely in my opinion, could spark a sharp selloff. I am thus negative on the stock.

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Not A Merry Christmas For Tesla In The Netherlands

12/29/2020

 
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By Anton Wahlman, Seeking Alpha

In December 2019, Tesla sold a whopping 12,053 Model 3 units in the Netherlands. It was 13% of Tesla’s entire global automotive unit sales for the entire quarter.

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Don’t Believe the Positive Press About Tesla

12/24/2020

 
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​In early 2019 Tesla had a close scrape with death, and yet you never saw a single word about it in all of the tech blogs that cover Tesla. We now know this to be true from an unlikely source. Musk himself. In the past week he’s dropped an interesting tidbit about him wanting to offer the company to Apple at a tenth of the current value. ​

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Why Tesla’s Quality Isn’t Improving

12/13/2020

 
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​The funny thing about Tesla’s bubble valuation is that you can see that this company is very poorly managed. Musk tells himself that since Tesla’s stock price is high, that he must be doing something right. Well, Bernie Madoff made the same argument for decades until it all caught up with him. 

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Is Musk Admitting Defeat?

12/6/2020

 
Maybe The Traditional Auto Makers Know What They’re Doing After All
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​In a surprising admission this week, Musk said that he was open to merger talks with the right auto company. After lambasting traditional automakers for years and stating that Tesla was revolutionizing the auto manufacturing world…now this? Ha! This is just too funny. 

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Musk Admits Current Stock Price Based on Future Fantasies

12/1/2020

 
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​On Nov 22nd I wrote about how Tesla’s stock price has been carried for the past year on the prospect of future inclusion into the S&P 500. Here is an excerpt of what I said:

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